The 2020 United States presidential election is scheduled for the 3rd of November of this year and the question of who will challenge Trump is already making a wave. The latest debate held in Houston brought forward different strategies by the 10 democrats who had participated. Julian Castro took on frontrunner Joe Biden. Andrew Yang separated himself from his rivals by offering prizes of $1,000 a month to 10 people. Leading progressives Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders dueled over the same turf without openly attacking one another.
Nick Beauchamp, an assistant professor of political science at the Northeastern University, says that the subjects addressed in the debate help to reveal the candidates’ strategies. He has joined with Laura South, a doctoral candidate in data visualisation, to develop an analysis of the debate.
When asked, which outsiders may rise to challenge the poll leaders, Beauchamp says that Biden has a lead of around 30% for almost a year now, and Sanders has been steady at around 15-20%. The only real change has been Warren shifting from single digits to somewhere in the 15-20% range, and Harris’s brief excursion up and then back down. However, things have been stable more than the 2016 Republican primary or the 2012 Republican primary. And similarly, for all of the turmoil of the past couple years, Trump’s own approval has been remarkably stable.
Shahjadi Jemim Rahman